San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%San Diego State

71.3%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -248

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 73

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 79

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricNew Mexico

60.1MMH Power Index63.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency114.8

99.3Defensive Efficiency100.2

11.0Net Efficiency14.6

3.8Strength of Schedule2.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

70.8Tempo70.7

53.2%Effective FG%53.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

7.8Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (114.8–110.3), net efficiency (14.6–11.0), recent form (8.3–0.4).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–100.2), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0), offensive rebounding (30.8–30.5).

Final

San Diego State

76—81

New Mexico

New Mexico by 5 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

27-60FG24-61

45.0%FG%39.0%

9-313PT8-23

29.0%3PT%35.0%

13-22FT25-36

59.0%FT%69.0%

36Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists13

7Turnovers6

4Steals4

7Blocks3

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	28	5-10	3-5	4-6	7	1	1	1	17
BJ Davis	G	25	4-8	3-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Magoon Gwath	F	22	4-8	0-4	3-6	3	0	1	2	11
Elzie Harrington	G	25	5-9	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Sean Newman Jr.	G	17	2-5	2-5	3-4	1	5	1	0	9
Tae Simmons	F	17	2-3	0-1	3-4	7	1	0	0	7
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	29	2-8	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Miles Heide	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	3	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Taj DeGourville	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-2	3	6	1	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tomislav Buljan	F	32	10-15	0-1	4-8	18	1	0	1	24
Luke Haupt	G	34	4-6	2-2	7-10	4	3	3	0	17
Jake Hall	G	33	4-11	3-8	3-4	5	2	0	0	14
Uriah Tenette	G	26	2-8	1-3	5-6	3	5	0	0	10
Antonio Chol	F	28	2-7	2-5	1-2	1	1	0	2	7
JT Rock	C	9	2-4	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Deyton Albury	G	31	0-10	0-3	3-4	6	1	1	0	3
Tajavis Miller	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

108.1Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency108.1

-7.1Net Efficiency7.1

52.5%Effective FG%45.9%

53.9%True Shooting %51.9%

9.9%Turnover Rate8.6%

36.7%Free Throw Rate59.0%

51.7%3-Point Rate37.7%

2.71Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.