Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Central Michigan

75.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -313

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 73

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBuffalo

44MMH Power Index49.7

105.9Offensive Efficiency114.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency112.2

-5.1Net Efficiency2.7

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.0

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.3Tempo67.9

52.6%Effective FG%56.1%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

32.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-3.5Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–44.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.9), net efficiency (2.7–-5.1), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.5).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.0–112.2), recent form (1.3–-5.9), offensive rebounding (29.6–27.6).

Final

Central Michigan

75—70

Buffalo

Central Michigan by 5 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBuffalo

26-55FG28-59

47.0%FG%47.0%

9-223PT8-23

41.0%3PT%35.0%

14-17FT6-9

82.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists18

15Turnovers8

4Steals10

4Blocks4

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamario Adley	G	35	7-13	3-6	4-4	4	0	0	0	21
Phat Phat Brooks	G	30	5-8	1-3	3-4	7	8	1	0	14
Nathan Claerbaut	C	30	5-10	0-0	1-1	4	4	0	4	11
Logan McIntire	G	31	3-7	3-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Jalen Kampen	G	12	3-6	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Nick Mullen	F	18	2-4	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	6
Keenan Garner	F	32	0-6	0-1	4-6	10	4	1	0	4
Jaxson Whitaker	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	40	6-17	5-12	0-0	4	3	0	0	17
Angelo Brizzi	G	39	5-12	0-3	4-5	3	6	2	1	14
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	35	5-7	0-1	0-0	3	6	3	0	10
Tim Oboh	C	24	5-8	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	2	10
Ezra McKenna	F	11	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Noah Batchelor	G	37	2-6	1-4	2-2	4	2	3	0	7
Kyle Jones	G	12	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Matas Buteliauskas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

117.7Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency117.7

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

55.5%Effective FG%54.2%

59.5%True Shooting %55.3%

23.4%Turnover Rate12.6%

30.9%Free Throw Rate15.3%

40.0%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.