VMI

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%VMI

91.5%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -15.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEChattanooga -1076

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVMI 68

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreChattanooga 84

Team Comparison

VMIMetricChattanooga

29.1MMH Power Index45.9

105.1Offensive Efficiency112.7

117.4Defensive Efficiency110.5

-12.3Net Efficiency2.2

-5.4Strength of Schedule-4.4

-21.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.2Tempo68.1

48.9%Effective FG%55.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.1%

26.4%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

29.9%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-8.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–29.1), offensive efficiency (112.7–105.1), defensive efficiency (110.5–117.4), net efficiency (2.2–-12.3).

VMI COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (26.4–23.5), free throw rate (29.9–29.2).

Final

VMI

79—86

Chattanooga

Chattanooga by 7 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VMITEAM STATChattanooga

26-62FG34-68

42.0%FG%50.0%

13-383PT12-31

34.0%3PT%39.0%

14-21FT6-8

67.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists13

1Turnovers2

2Steals—

2Blocks—

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

VMI

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Johnson	F	40	7-17	6-14	1-3	7	0	1	1	21
Cal Liston	F	38	8-16	2-8	3-3	9	2	1	0	21
Kaden Stuckey	F	28	4-5	0-0	5-8	9	0	0	1	13
Linus Holmstrom	G	30	3-7	3-7	3-3	2	2	0	0	12
Tan Yildizoglu	G	39	3-10	2-6	2-4	3	6	0	0	10
Mario Tatum Jr.	G	19	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Walker Andrews	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	PTS
Jordan Frison	G	34	14-18	3-4	2-3	3	3	33
Billy Smith	G	31	5-12	5-11	0-0	3	1	15
Collin Mulholland	F	28	6-10	0-1	1-1	10	2	13
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	15	4-8	2-6	0-0	2	1	10
Tate Darner	G	35	2-6	1-3	2-3	7	3	7
Brennan Watkins	G	35	2-11	1-5	1-1	4	3	6
Makai Richards	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2
Houston Holland	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0
Jikari Johnson	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

124.6Offensive Efficiency135.6

135.6Defensive Efficiency124.6

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

52.4%Effective FG%58.8%

54.9%True Shooting %59.9%

1.6%Turnover Rate3.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate11.8%

61.3%3-Point Rate45.6%

11.00Assist / Turnover6.50

Game Summary

Chattanooga won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.