Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Florida Gulf Coast

39.0%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida Gulf Coast -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida Gulf Coast -156

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 79

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreStetson 77

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricStetson

48.6MMH Power Index40

110.5Offensive Efficiency107.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency115.9

1.3Net Efficiency-8.7

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

70.0Tempo68.7

52.1%Effective FG%53.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate18.3%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

29.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

0.9Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida Gulf Coast HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida Gulf Coast holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.2), defensive efficiency (109.2–115.9), net efficiency (1.3–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-1.8), shooting efficiency (53.8–52.1), free throw rate (33.6–29.9).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

63—78

Stetson

Stetson by 15 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATStetson

23-57FG29-52

40.0%FG%56.0%

5-203PT11-21

25.0%3PT%52.0%

12-16FT9-14

75.0%FT%64.0%

24Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists22

9Turnovers16

9Steals2

4Blocks2

11Fouls12

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rahmir Barno	G	38	7-10	1-1	5-6	2	4	1	0	20
J.R. Konieczny	F	38	6-16	2-5	3-4	5	1	1	0	17
Isaiah Malone	F	35	5-9	1-2	4-6	5	1	3	2	15
Michael Duax	F	32	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	2	6
Darren Williams	G	22	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Jordan Ellerbee	G	25	1-10	0-5	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Jack Reddick	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
George Washington III	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt McCarthy	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Copeland	G	38	9-14	4-7	0-0	5	4	0	0	22
Jake Johnson	G	37	6-8	3-4	2-3	2	2	0	0	17
Calvin Sirmans III	G	32	3-8	2-4	2-2	2	9	1	0	10
Collin Kuhl	F	26	4-7	0-0	2-4	10	1	0	0	10
Finley Sheridan	F	31	3-5	1-2	2-3	8	3	0	1	9
Matar Diop	F	13	2-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Daniel Macgregor	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Alex Doyle	F	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

93.1Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency93.1

-22.2Net Efficiency22.2

44.7%Effective FG%66.3%

48.8%True Shooting %66.5%

13.3%Turnover Rate23.7%

28.1%Free Throw Rate26.9%

35.1%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Stetson won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.