Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Sacramento State

84.4%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -541

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricMontana State

43MMH Power Index53.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-5.9Net Efficiency9.5

0.9Strength of Schedule-3.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

73.2Tempo68.1

48.5%Effective FG%55.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

41.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-4.3Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Sacramento State

61—82

Montana State

Montana State by 21 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATMontana State

21-60FG32-61

35.0%FG%52.0%

8-213PT13-33

38.0%3PT%39.0%

11-17FT5-12

65.0%FT%42.0%

21Rebounds50

4Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists11

3Turnovers13

9Steals2

—Blocks5

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	33	5-12	3-5	2-2	3	1	2	15
Jayden Teat	G	28	5-11	2-4	3-4	1	3	1	15
Arman Madi	G	35	6-10	1-3	1-1	3	2	3	14
Romari Robinson	G	22	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	8
Taj Glover	G	12	2-5	0-1	2-6	0	0	1	6
Mark Lavrenov	F	35	0-4	0-1	3-4	7	0	2	3
Shaqir O'Neal	F	20	0-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0
Jahni Summers	G	15	0-6	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Seth Amunrud	G	38	8-12	5-7	0-0	10	1	0	0	21
Jed Miller	G	38	7-18	4-11	0-0	9	6	0	0	18
Jeremiah Davis	G	38	7-13	1-5	1-3	9	3	1	2	16
Howie Keene	G	29	4-7	2-5	1-1	11	0	0	0	11
Chris Hodges	F	27	3-4	0-0	3-6	7	0	1	3	9
Jaden Steppe	F	13	2-3	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	0	4
Christian King	F	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Grayson Gaddis	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Calum Rutherfurd	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

91.9Offensive Efficiency123.5

123.5Defensive Efficiency91.9

-31.6Net Efficiency31.6

41.7%Effective FG%63.1%

44.8%True Shooting %61.5%

4.5%Turnover Rate19.8%

28.3%Free Throw Rate19.7%

35.0%3-Point Rate54.1%

2.33Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Montana State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.