Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Ball State

30.2%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL142.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -231

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 73

Projected Total142.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricNorthern Illinois

41.3MMH Power Index29.2

101.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

-3.0Net Efficiency-11.9

-3.9Strength of Schedule-2.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

66.4Tempo69.7

48.3%Effective FG%48.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate21.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-2.0Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ball State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBall State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–29.2), offensive efficiency (101.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–111.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-3.9), shooting efficiency (48.5–48.3), offensive rebounding (31.7–26.5).

Final

Ball State

79—43

Northern Illinois

Ball State by 36 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

30-60FG11-43

50.0%FG%26.0%

11-253PT4-17

44.0%3PT%24.0%

8-10FT17-23

80.0%FT%74.0%

39Rebounds27

8Offensive Rebounds4

20Assists6

7Turnovers12

7Steals5

2Blocks1

19Fouls10

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Hill	G	30	7-14	2-2	1-1	6	7	2	0	17
Armoni Zeigler	G	23	5-11	1-3	2-3	6	6	2	0	13
Elmore James IV	G	19	4-6	3-5	1-1	3	0	0	0	12
Kayden Fish	F	15	4-4	0-0	4-5	2	0	0	0	12
Devon Barnes	G	26	4-10	3-7	0-0	0	3	1	0	11
Juwan Maxey	G	15	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Mason Jones	F	23	1-1	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Preston Copeland	F	22	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	2	2
Jai Anthoni Bearden	F	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Easton Foster	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cam Denson	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kody Clancy	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Farley	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daemar Kelly	G	20	2-5	1-2	4-4	2	0	1	0	9
Taj Walters	G	32	2-9	1-4	3-4	4	0	0	1	8
Dylan Ducommun	G	23	2-8	2-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Carlos Coronado	G	11	1-2	0-0	4-6	0	0	0	0	6
Gustav Winther	F	18	2-4	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	0	5
Gianni Cobb	G	28	0-6	0-2	4-4	2	3	2	0	4
Makhai Valentine	G	29	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Jaylen Wharton	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Hassan Washington	F	20	0-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	1
Isaiah Washington	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Stewart	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Laskey	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

125.6Offensive Efficiency68.4

68.4Defensive Efficiency125.6

57.2Net Efficiency-57.2

59.2%Effective FG%30.2%

61.0%True Shooting %39.9%

11.0%Turnover Rate19.4%

16.7%Free Throw Rate53.5%

41.7%3-Point Rate39.5%

2.86Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Ball State won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.