Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.6%Portland State

49.4%Montana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -102

Montana

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreMontana 76

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricMontana

50.2MMH Power Index45.4

109.3Offensive Efficiency108.6

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

9.1Net Efficiency3.8

-5.6Strength of Schedule-2.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.5

70.1Tempo71.2

51.7%Effective FG%56.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.7%

6.4Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–45.4), offensive efficiency (109.3–108.6), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.8), net efficiency (9.1–3.8).

Montana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-5.6), shooting efficiency (56.3–51.7), free throw rate (37.7–36.8).

Final

Portland State

68—74

Montana

Montana by 6 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATMontana

25-64FG26-53

39.0%FG%49.0%

9-343PT9-22

26.0%3PT%41.0%

9-15FT13-21

60.0%FT%62.0%

38Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists15

14Turnovers14

8Steals8

2Blocks1

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	40	7-15	4-7	2-4	3	6	2	0	20
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	37	5-13	0-4	6-9	10	1	2	1	16
Isaiah Williams	G	23	3-8	2-6	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Sebastian Tidor	G	10	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	23	2-2	0-0	1-2	11	0	0	0	5
Brycen Long	G	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Terri Miller Jr.	F	20	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	18	1-6	0-4	0-0	4	0	3	0	2
Alex Dupre	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Brayden Barron	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Samuel Stewart IV	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Charles Chukwu	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colt Ness	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	36	10-20	3-7	4-4	3	7	2	0	27
Tyler Thompson	G	32	2-6	1-5	4-6	4	1	3	0	9
Brooklyn Hicks	G	30	4-8	1-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	9
Grant Kepley	G	25	3-7	0-1	3-5	1	2	0	0	9
Tyler Isaak	G	21	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	27	1-6	1-3	2-4	9	2	1	0	5
Trae Taylor	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Kenyon Aguino	F	19	1-1	0-0	0-2	5	1	0	1	2
Connor Dick	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

95.0Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency95.0

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

46.1%Effective FG%57.5%

47.8%True Shooting %58.8%

19.4%Turnover Rate19.7%

23.4%Free Throw Rate39.6%

53.1%3-Point Rate41.5%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Montana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.