East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%East Tennessee State

53.5%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -115

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 77

Projected Total155.1

Projected ScoreMercer 79

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricMercer

57.4MMH Power Index54.1

115.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

102.8Defensive Efficiency106.5

12.3Net Efficiency10.1

-1.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

67.4Tempo70.9

55.4%Effective FG%53.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.0%Free Throw Rate38.9%

8.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), defensive efficiency (102.8–106.5), net efficiency (12.3–10.1), strength of schedule (-1.6–-4.4).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–115.1), ball security (14.7–15.1), offensive rebounding (33.6–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

76—82

Mercer

Mercer by 6 • 63.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATMercer

28-62FG24-47

45.0%FG%51.0%

9-243PT11-21

38.0%3PT%52.0%

11-14FT23-36

79.0%FT%64.0%

33Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists15

8Turnovers9

8Steals6

2Blocks4

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Barkley	F	31	6-13	0-1	4-5	9	3	1	1	16
Brian Taylor II	G	33	6-15	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	15
Jaylen Smith	G	24	3-8	2-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	10
Isaiah Sutherland	F	9	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Jordan McCullum	F	21	3-3	0-0	2-3	1	1	1	1	8
Cam Morris III	F	27	3-8	0-1	1-1	11	1	2	0	7
Maki Johnson	G	25	2-4	1-3	2-3	4	1	3	0	7
Allen Strothers	G	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	5	1	0	2
Milton Matthews III	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	34	7-9	4-6	5-6	1	2	0	0	23
Baraka Okojie	G	37	1-7	0-2	12-17	3	8	4	0	14
Quinton Perkins II	G	33	4-5	4-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	12
Armani Mighty	C	35	5-10	0-0	0-4	13	1	0	1	10
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	16	3-5	1-3	3-5	3	0	0	1	10
Bendji Pierre	F	13	3-7	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Connor Serven	F	29	1-4	0-1	3-4	7	2	1	2	5
TJ Grant	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.9Possessions63.9

118.9Offensive Efficiency128.3

128.3Defensive Efficiency118.9

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

52.4%Effective FG%62.8%

55.4%True Shooting %64.0%

12.6%Turnover Rate14.0%

22.6%Free Throw Rate76.6%

38.7%3-Point Rate44.7%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Mercer won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.