Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.8%Colorado State

27.2%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -268

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 78

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreSan José State 72

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricSan José State

55.4MMH Power Index42

117.1Offensive Efficiency108.7

109.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

7.2Net Efficiency-9.8

0.4Strength of Schedule1.8

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

64.7Tempo66.2

58.6%Effective FG%50.8%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.2%

4.6Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–42.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–108.7), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-9.8).

San José State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.4), ball security (15.2–18.3), offensive rebounding (30.7–29.2).

Final

Colorado State

85—73

San José State

Colorado State by 12 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATSan José State

28-45FG24-53

62.0%FG%45.0%

9-173PT7-21

53.0%3PT%33.0%

20-24FT18-25

83.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds21

4Offensive Rebounds7

19Assists14

11Turnovers6

1Steals6

—Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	31	7-11	6-9	0-0	4	1	0	20
Carey Booth	F	31	3-9	1-3	8-9	5	2	0	15
Rashaan Mbemba	F	17	5-6	0-0	5-6	3	1	0	15
Jevin Muniz	G	36	5-8	1-3	1-2	2	10	0	12
Jase Butler	G	28	3-5	1-2	3-4	5	2	0	10
Kyle Jorgensen	F	20	4-5	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	9
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	1	2
Jojo McIver	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2
Darnez Slater	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colby Garland	G	40	10-17	1-3	7-9	2	8	2	0	28
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	39	5-12	2-6	3-6	6	2	0	0	15
Adrian Myers	F	34	3-7	2-6	2-2	1	0	2	1	10
Sadraque NgaNga	F	19	3-6	1-2	3-3	5	0	0	0	10
Jermaine Washington	G	39	1-6	1-2	2-3	3	2	0	0	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	18	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	5
Japhet Moupadele	F	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

133.4Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency133.4

18.8Net Efficiency-18.8

72.2%Effective FG%51.9%

75.4%True Shooting %56.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate9.4%

53.3%Free Throw Rate47.2%

37.8%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.73Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.