Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Missouri State

74.4%Sam Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -291

Sam Houston

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreSam Houston 82

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricSam Houston

51.1MMH Power Index56.1

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.5

108.4Defensive Efficiency105.5

2.1Net Efficiency10.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.2

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.9Tempo71.2

51.8%Effective FG%53.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

1.4Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–51.1), offensive efficiency (115.5–110.5), defensive efficiency (105.5–108.4), net efficiency (10.0–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.2), ball security (16.4–16.6), free throw rate (42.9–34.8).

Final

Missouri State

81—86

Sam Houston

Sam Houston by 5 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATSam Houston

30-62FG29-58

48.0%FG%50.0%

6-213PT6-13

29.0%3PT%46.0%

15-21FT22-28

71.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists11

8Turnovers8

5Steals4

3Blocks7

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	27	10-15	0-0	4-5	5	1	1	1	24
Keith Palek III	F	37	7-16	1-5	6-7	6	1	0	0	21
Kobi Williams	G	40	4-11	4-9	2-2	2	1	0	0	14
Trey Williams Jr.	G	37	5-12	1-5	2-3	4	11	3	1	13
Melakih Cunningham	G	22	2-5	0-2	1-1	3	0	1	0	5
Tyrique Brooks	G	17	1-1	0-0	0-3	2	3	0	0	2
Cameron Boone	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Darrion Sutton	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zaxton King	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Logan Epes	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Walker	G	38	8-13	1-2	6-7	2	1	0	1	23
Po'Boigh King	G	35	5-15	3-6	4-5	2	0	1	0	17
Veljko Ilic	F	28	7-7	0-0	1-2	4	3	2	3	15
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	30	3-9	0-1	3-4	9	5	1	0	9
CJ Beaumont	G	13	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Jacobe Coleman	G	26	1-4	0-0	5-6	2	1	0	0	7
Matt Dann	F	11	2-4	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	2	7
Kashie Natt	G	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	8	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

119.6Offensive Efficiency127.0

127.0Defensive Efficiency119.6

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

53.2%Effective FG%55.2%

56.3%True Shooting %60.3%

11.8%Turnover Rate11.9%

33.9%Free Throw Rate48.3%

33.9%3-Point Rate22.4%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Sam Houston won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.