Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Mississippi Valley State

94.5%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -19.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -1718

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 68

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 87

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

17.7MMH Power Index38.7

91.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.8Defensive Efficiency111.6

-26.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.1Strength of Schedule-6.0

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

70.5Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-18.8Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–17.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.0).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

70—69

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Mississippi Valley State by 1 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

27-58FG22-55

47.0%FG%40.0%

5-173PT4-21

29.0%3PT%19.0%

11-15FT21-30

73.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists14

17Turnovers12

6Steals11

2Blocks3

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael James	G	33	7-14	3-6	4-6	4	3	4	0	21
Daniel Mayfield	F	32	7-17	0-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	14
Xzayvion Childress	G	38	4-9	1-4	2-2	6	3	0	0	11
Patrick Punch	G	32	4-7	1-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	11
Tyrone Iroghama	G	9	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	5
X'Zaevion Barnett	G	23	1-2	0-0	2-2	9	4	1	0	4
Mussa Mzein	C	20	2-6	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	1	4
PJ McDonald	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Derrick Singleton	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chance Sutton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaquan Scott	F	36	7-13	0-3	12-15	10	2	3	2	26
Alex Mirhosseini	G	36	4-7	4-6	2-2	2	3	3	0	14
Quion Williams	G	37	5-18	0-5	3-6	12	4	2	0	13
Milhan Charles	G	26	3-5	0-1	4-6	3	2	1	0	10
Trevon Payton	G	34	1-5	0-3	0-1	2	1	2	0	2
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	17	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Ahmad Johnson	G	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Dennis Asoro	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Kyle Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency100.4

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

50.9%Effective FG%43.6%

53.7%True Shooting %49.8%

24.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.9%Free Throw Rate54.5%

29.3%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Mississippi Valley State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.