Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Weber State

50.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -103

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 79

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 79

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricIdaho State

50.2MMH Power Index45.9

113.6Offensive Efficiency111.0

108.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

5.4Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.5Tempo67.1

52.6%Effective FG%52.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

38.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.9Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), offensive efficiency (113.6–111.0), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.4), net efficiency (5.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.4), offensive rebounding (33.9–32.6), free throw rate (39.1–38.3).

Final

Weber State

83—73

Idaho State

Weber State by 10 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATIdaho State

30-58FG27-69

52.0%FG%39.0%

8-203PT7-21

40.0%3PT%33.0%

15-19FT12-17

79.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists11

9Turnovers6

4Steals6

3Blocks7

12Fouls16

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tijan Saine Jr.	G	34	8-15	2-7	6-6	2	4	0	0	24
Viljami Vartiainen	G	35	6-10	4-8	0-0	6	0	0	0	16
Trevor Hennig	G	31	6-12	1-4	0-1	3	1	0	0	13
Nigel Burris	F	27	3-6	1-1	4-4	9	1	0	1	11
Malek Gomma	F	28	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	9
Edwin Suarez Jr.	F	16	3-5	0-0	1-2	5	2	4	0	7
Duce Paschal	G	8	0-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
ArDarius Grayson	G	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Declan Cutler	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	28	7-12	0-1	1-1	6	1	0	0	15
Caleb Van De Griend	F	21	6-12	0-1	3-5	8	1	2	1	15
Gus Etchison	PG	20	5-12	2-6	3-3	1	7	0	0	15
Jamison Guerra	PG	20	5-12	3-5	0-0	6	1	0	0	13
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	1-6	1-3	2-2	6	0	2	1	5
Blake Daberkow	F	11	1-3	0-0	3-6	1	0	0	1	5
Cheikh Sow	G	16	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	3
Evan Otten	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4	2
Martin Kheil	G	28	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Louis Bond	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

121.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency121.9

14.7Net Efficiency-14.7

58.6%Effective FG%44.2%

61.9%True Shooting %47.4%

13.4%Turnover Rate8.7%

32.8%Free Throw Rate24.6%

34.5%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Weber State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.