Liberty

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Liberty

55.7%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -126

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLiberty 72

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

LibertyMetricJacksonville State

53.7MMH Power Index51.2

119.0Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.0Defensive Efficiency101.8

11.0Net Efficiency6.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

65.3Tempo67.2

60.5%Effective FG%51.0%

13.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

19.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

32.1%Free Throw Rate44.5%

7.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.2), net efficiency (11.0–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.0–-2.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–108.0), recent form (-0.3–-4.2), offensive rebounding (31.3–19.0).

Final

Liberty

81—78

Jacksonville State

Liberty by 3 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LibertyTEAM STATJacksonville State

28-50FG28-55

56.0%FG%51.0%

11-253PT8-18

44.0%3PT%44.0%

14-18FT14-20

78.0%FT%70.0%

25Rebounds30

3Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists13

8Turnovers7

3Steals4

3Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Metheny	G	38	8-13	6-11	2-2	2	4	1	0	24
Brett Decker Jr.	G	36	5-10	4-8	2-2	1	0	0	0	16
Zach Cleveland	F	36	5-9	0-0	2-5	7	5	0	2	12
Colin Porter	G	36	2-5	1-3	7-7	3	5	1	0	12
Josh Smith	F	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
JJ Harper	G	24	2-4	0-2	1-2	3	1	0	1	5
Zander Carter	G	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	26	6-17	2-4	7-10	6	0	0	0	21
Jacoby Hill	G	27	6-7	1-1	3-4	3	1	0	0	16
Jamar Franklin	G	21	4-8	3-6	0-0	0	0	1	0	11
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	30	5-8	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	10
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	29	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	4	1	0	10
Jaye Nash	G	32	0-3	0-1	4-6	4	5	2	0	4
Iaroslav Niagu	F	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
Toby Nnadozie	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Connor Loy	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

127.4Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency127.4

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

67.0%Effective FG%58.2%

69.2%True Shooting %60.5%

12.6%Turnover Rate11.0%

36.0%Free Throw Rate36.4%

50.0%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.88Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Liberty won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.