TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%TCU

29.0%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -245

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 82

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreKansas State 77

Team Comparison

TCUMetricKansas State

59.7MMH Power Index47.1

110.2Offensive Efficiency107.8

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.5Net Efficiency-3.1

4.6Strength of Schedule5.5

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

70.2Tempo73.8

50.5%Effective FG%53.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.4%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

38.3%Free Throw Rate27.4%

5.3Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (110.2–107.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.9), net efficiency (7.5–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.5).

Final

TCU

77—68

Kansas State

TCU by 9 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATKansas State

27-63FG28-56

43.0%FG%50.0%

7-273PT8-23

26.0%3PT%35.0%

16-23FT4-9

70.0%FT%44.0%

36Rebounds31

11Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists19

8Turnovers18

12Steals7

4Blocks4

12Fouls18

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Edmonds	F	33	5-8	1-4	4-8	13	3	3	2	15
Tanner Toolson	G	23	4-12	3-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	14
David Punch	F	26	4-10	0-2	5-6	5	1	1	1	13
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	22	5-9	0-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	12
Micah Robinson	F	30	3-9	1-4	2-3	2	1	2	1	9
Brock Harding	G	34	3-7	2-4	0-0	4	6	4	0	8
Jayden Pierre	G	31	3-8	0-5	0-0	1	4	1	0	6
Vianney Salatchoum	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	39	9-14	0-2	0-0	7	5	0	0	18
Nate Johnson	G	37	6-12	4-7	0-0	5	9	3	0	16
Khamari McGriff	F	18	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Taj Manning	F	31	3-8	0-0	1-4	10	0	1	2	7
Elias Rapieque	F	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Andrej Kostic	F	14	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
David Castillo	G	25	1-4	0-3	2-3	0	3	1	0	4
C.J. Jones	G	20	1-4	0-3	1-2	2	0	1	2	3

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

106.8Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency106.8

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

48.4%Effective FG%57.1%

52.1%True Shooting %56.4%

11.3%Turnover Rate24.6%

36.5%Free Throw Rate16.1%

42.9%3-Point Rate41.1%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

TCU won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.