Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.2%Valparaiso

17.8%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -462

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreEvansville 68

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricEvansville

49.9MMH Power Index31.6

106.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.4

0.8Net Efficiency-13.9

0.3Strength of Schedule1.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

48.7%Effective FG%50.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

0.5Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–31.6), offensive efficiency (106.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.4), net efficiency (0.8–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.0–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

79—80

Evansville

Evansville by 1 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATEvansville

23-53FG25-53

43.0%FG%47.0%

9-213PT9-18

43.0%3PT%50.0%

24-28FT21-22

86.0%FT%95.0%

29Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists16

6Turnovers9

7Steals6

—Blocks3

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Owen Dease	F	31	7-12	3-6	0-0	0	1	0	17
JT Pettigrew	F	24	5-8	0-0	7-9	6	1	1	17
Rakim Chaney	G	35	4-11	3-9	2-2	3	5	3	13
Brody Whitaker	G	25	3-7	1-3	5-5	0	4	0	12
Justus McNair	G	18	2-4	1-1	4-4	2	0	1	9
Sader Servilus	G	20	0-3	0-1	3-4	4	1	1	3
Isaiah Barnes	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	3
Carter Hopoi	F	8	0-2	0-0	3-4	0	0	1	3
Shon Tupuola	C	26	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	3	0	2
Kyonte Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Tucker Tornatta	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Casey	F	35	12-16	3-3	10-11	11	1	0	2	37
Bryce Quinet	G	36	6-13	2-3	4-4	2	2	2	0	18
Leif Moeller	G	40	2-8	1-2	5-5	4	11	3	0	10
Joshua Hughes	F	36	3-6	2-3	2-2	10	1	1	1	10
Alex Hemenway	G	22	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Kaia Berridge	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Trent Hundley	F	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

116.3Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency116.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

51.9%Effective FG%55.7%

59.6%True Shooting %63.0%

8.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

52.8%Free Throw Rate41.5%

39.6%3-Point Rate34.0%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Evansville won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.