Duquesne

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Duquesne

90.8%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -987

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuquesne 71

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 88

Team Comparison

DuquesneMetricSaint Louis

50.7MMH Power Index66.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

106.2Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.4Net Efficiency23.2

0.6Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

70.8Tempo72.2

53.4%Effective FG%59.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

38.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

3.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–50.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–106.2), net efficiency (23.2–4.4).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.6–0.3), free throw rate (38.2–33.9).

Final

Duquesne

76—91

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 15 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DuquesneTEAM STATSaint Louis

26-56FG27-50

46.0%FG%54.0%

8-243PT16-28

33.0%3PT%57.0%

16-23FT21-24

70.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists22

10Turnovers10

8Steals5

4Blocks4

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarence Guinyard	G	36	8-16	4-10	7-9	4	3	1	0	27
Jimmie Williams	G	34	6-14	2-7	4-5	3	4	2	0	18
David Dixon	F	28	4-6	0-1	4-6	7	4	0	3	12
Alex Williams	F	19	3-8	2-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Brandon Hall	G	32	3-6	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	6
John Hugley IV	F	11	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Jakub Necas	F	22	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Jake DiMichele	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	1	0
Cam Crawford	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	31	8-12	5-7	2-2	7	7	0	1	23
Quentin Jones	G	33	3-7	2-5	9-10	3	3	0	2	17
Trey Green	G	25	4-8	3-5	3-3	1	4	1	0	14
Paul Otieno	F	29	4-5	0-0	5-5	3	1	1	1	13
Dion Brown	G	17	3-6	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Ishan Sharma	F	24	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Brady Dunlap	F	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Kellen Thames	G	19	1-3	0-0	2-4	5	2	1	0	4
Amari McCottry	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

115.7Offensive Efficiency138.5

138.5Defensive Efficiency115.7

-22.8Net Efficiency22.8

53.6%Effective FG%70.0%

56.8%True Shooting %74.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

41.1%Free Throw Rate48.0%

42.9%3-Point Rate56.0%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.