Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Baylor

57.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -136

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 80

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreUCF 83

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricUCF

58.9MMH Power Index57.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency113.3

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.2Net Efficiency3.3

4.0Strength of Schedule6.6

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.7Tempo71.2

54.4%Effective FG%53.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.3), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.0), net efficiency (7.2–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.0), ball security (16.0–16.4).

Final

Baylor

87—86

UCF

Baylor by 1 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATUCF

30-64FG31-60

47.0%FG%52.0%

9-233PT8-18

39.0%3PT%44.0%

18-22FT16-19

82.0%FT%84.0%

35Rebounds28

16Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists22

8Turnovers7

3Steals4

2Blocks8

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Carr	G	38	6-13	4-8	10-10	4	2	0	1	26
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	26	6-12	1-2	2-4	4	1	1	1	15
Isaac Williams IV	G	29	6-9	2-2	0-0	3	5	0	0	14
Obi Agbim	G	36	5-9	1-5	1-3	3	7	1	0	12
Tounde Yessoufou	G	31	3-11	1-4	2-2	8	0	0	0	9
Michael Rataj	G	19	3-7	0-2	1-1	1	2	1	0	7
Caden Powell	C	21	1-3	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	0	4

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	34	10-19	4-7	2-2	5	5	2	0	26
Jordan Burks	F	31	5-10	2-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	12
Jamichael Stillwell	F	26	4-5	0-0	3-3	4	3	0	0	11
Themus Fulks	G	32	3-12	0-2	2-2	1	10	1	0	8
Devan Cambridge	F	17	3-5	0-1	2-3	2	0	1	2	8
John Bol	C	22	2-2	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	5	7
Chris Johnson	G	16	2-2	1-1	1-2	0	4	0	1	6
Elijah Hulsewe	C	5	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	3
Carmelo Pacheco	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
George Beale Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kris Parker	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jeremy Foumena	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

131.2Offensive Efficiency129.7

129.7Defensive Efficiency131.2

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

53.9%Effective FG%58.3%

58.4%True Shooting %62.3%

12.0%Turnover Rate10.6%

34.4%Free Throw Rate31.7%

35.9%3-Point Rate30.0%

2.38Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

Baylor won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.