Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Cal State Northridge

38.4%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -160

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 79

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Riverside

50MMH Power Index41.2

107.3Offensive Efficiency103.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency110.1

2.1Net Efficiency-7.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule0.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

75.9Tempo70.7

51.0%Effective FG%49.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

34.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.6Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–103.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–110.1), net efficiency (2.1–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.6), free throw rate (35.2–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

84—95

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 11 • 79.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Riverside

32-73FG33-75

44.0%FG%44.0%

3-163PT9-35

19.0%3PT%26.0%

17-23FT20-25

74.0%FT%80.0%

44Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists19

11Turnovers6

1Steals5

2Blocks6

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	36	15-23	0-1	8-10	9	8	1	1	38
Joshua O'Garro	G	36	6-16	1-4	3-6	7	4	0	1	16
Mahmoud Fofana	F	36	5-8	0-0	2-2	10	0	0	0	12
Larry Hughes II	G	35	3-15	1-8	1-1	7	0	0	0	8
Jordan Brinson	G	27	2-4	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Aleks Szymczyk	C	4	0-1	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Jai Chisolm	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
James Evans Jr.	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Davius Loury	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	40	12-20	3-7	11-13	6	5	2	1	38
Andrew Henderson	G	33	6-20	3-13	2-2	6	3	0	1	17
Ben Waller	G	19	4-8	2-3	1-2	3	0	0	0	11
Osiris Grady	F	32	4-7	0-1	2-4	10	5	0	1	10
BJ Kolly	F	22	4-6	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	3	8
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	37	1-7	1-6	4-4	5	4	2	0	7
Dylan Godfrey	F	9	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Tyler Jones	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.4Possessions79.4

105.8Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency105.8

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

45.9%Effective FG%50.0%

50.0%True Shooting %54.7%

13.6%Turnover Rate7.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate33.3%

21.9%3-Point Rate46.7%

1.27Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 79.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.