Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Tarleton State

88.4%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -762

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 66

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricCalifornia Baptist

44.6MMH Power Index58.3

103.2Offensive Efficiency106.5

101.6Defensive Efficiency99.0

1.6Net Efficiency7.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

72.2Tempo68.2

49.0%Effective FG%48.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

1.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (106.5–103.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–101.6), net efficiency (7.5–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (49.0–48.8), free throw rate (42.8–37.0).

Final

Tarleton State

67—82

California Baptist

California Baptist by 15 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

23-57FG25-59

40.0%FG%42.0%

3-83PT8-23

38.0%3PT%35.0%

18-23FT24-29

78.0%FT%83.0%

38Rebounds33

18Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists8

17Turnovers9

5Steals5

5Blocks1

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Johnson	G	29	7-17	0-0	10-11	4	3	1	0	24
Chris Mpaka	F	22	3-6	0-0	6-7	7	0	0	2	12
Freddy Hicks	G	23	4-6	1-2	2-3	6	1	1	0	11
Ocypher Owens	F	21	3-5	1-2	0-2	5	0	0	1	7
DJ Dormu	G	27	3-10	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Kaia Isaac	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Jordan Mizell	G	28	1-5	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	0	2
Andy Sigiscar	F	13	1-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Damion Porter Jr.	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kade Douglas	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Thomas	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Roy Marom	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joseph Martinez	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	37	7-19	4-11	5-6	2	4	2	0	23
Martel Williams	G	32	5-8	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	12
Devon Malcolm	F	14	4-9	1-2	3-4	2	2	1	1	12
Jayden Jackson	G	28	2-4	2-3	5-5	0	1	1	0	11
Jonathan Griman	F	25	2-3	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	0	7
Bradey Henige	F	18	1-4	0-0	5-6	3	0	0	0	7
Thomas Ndong	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Jordan Muller	G	10	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Miles Daniels	G	16	0-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Rene D'Amelio	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Dollar	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency100.1

-22.4Net Efficiency22.4

43.0%Effective FG%49.2%

49.3%True Shooting %56.3%

25.4%Turnover Rate13.5%

40.4%Free Throw Rate49.2%

14.0%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.59Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.