Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.8%Long Beach State

38.2%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -162

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 80

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

41.1MMH Power Index32.2

103.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

-4.0Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.2Tempo73.0

51.5%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–112.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.3), free throw rate (43.8–31.1).

Final

Long Beach State

88—87

Cal State Bakersfield

Long Beach State by 1 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

33-54FG27-51

61.0%FG%53.0%

9-163PT3-10

56.0%3PT%30.0%

13-20FT30-44

65.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists13

17Turnovers9

5Steals13

2Blocks2

27Fouls20

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Sykes	G	40	14-21	4-6	7-8	5	0	0	0	39
Petar Majstorovic	F	39	6-11	0-1	0-1	7	3	1	0	12
Rob Diaz III	G	23	4-5	0-1	2-2	3	3	0	2	10
Cole Farrell	G	24	3-5	3-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Leopold Levillain	F	36	3-4	0-0	1-5	13	2	3	0	7
Shaquil Bender	G	21	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	4	0	0	7
Christian Jones	G	8	1-2	1-1	1-2	0	0	1	0	4
Isaiah Lewis	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dallas Washington	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	39	11-19	0-0	11-16	11	1	3	0	33
CJ Hardy	G	40	6-12	2-6	5-9	0	6	5	0	19
Tom Mark	F	37	6-8	1-3	4-7	5	2	2	1	17
Dailin Smith	G	29	2-5	0-0	8-8	4	0	1	1	12
Kadar Waller	G	33	0-3	0-1	2-4	3	3	2	0	2
AJ George	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bentley Waller	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Mike Price	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency118.6

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

69.4%Effective FG%55.9%

69.3%True Shooting %60.5%

22.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

37.0%Free Throw Rate86.3%

29.6%3-Point Rate19.6%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Long Beach State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.