UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%UC Santa Barbara

78.4%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -363

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 70

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 80

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC Irvine

51.4MMH Power Index58.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

106.1Defensive Efficiency95.0

7.1Net Efficiency11.9

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

68.5Tempo72.3

54.8%Effective FG%50.7%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.8Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–106.1), net efficiency (11.9–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.0–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (54.8–50.7), free throw rate (37.9–36.5).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

60—64

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 4 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC Irvine

21-49FG23-58

43.0%FG%40.0%

11-253PT1-10

44.0%3PT%10.0%

7-9FT17-27

78.0%FT%63.0%

32Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists9

18Turnovers7

2Steals9

4Blocks2

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smith	F	36	5-11	3-7	3-4	6	2	0	1	16
Zion Sensley	G	32	6-13	2-7	0-1	5	3	0	0	14
Aidan Mahaney	G	38	4-7	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	12
CJ Shaw	G	38	2-6	2-4	2-2	3	5	1	1	8
Marvin McGhee IV	G	19	3-6	2-4	0-0	5	2	0	1	8
Hosana Kitenge	F	22	1-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	0	2
Evans Kipruto	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Michael Simcoe	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Koat Keat Tong	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luke Zuffelato	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	31	5-11	1-2	2-2	6	2	0	0	13
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	20	4-6	0-0	5-7	4	2	4	0	13
Andre Henry	G	23	4-12	0-2	4-5	1	0	2	0	12
Derin Saran	G	29	4-13	0-4	0-2	4	2	3	0	8
Kyle Evans	F	32	2-6	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	2	6
Harrison Carrington	F	9	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Tama Isaac	G	21	0-2	0-1	3-6	2	2	0	0	3
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	12	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Elijah Chol	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

90.8Offensive Efficiency96.8

96.8Defensive Efficiency90.8

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

54.1%Effective FG%40.5%

56.3%True Shooting %45.2%

27.6%Turnover Rate10.5%

18.4%Free Throw Rate46.6%

51.0%3-Point Rate17.2%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.