Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Cal Poly

78.2%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -359

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 75

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 85

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC San Diego

46.5MMH Power Index53.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency100.7

-3.8Net Efficiency7.7

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.3

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

76.6Tempo69.8

52.2%Effective FG%53.1%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-2.9Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–111.0), net efficiency (7.7–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-1.3), offensive rebounding (29.9–26.9), free throw rate (35.8–33.2).

Final

Cal Poly

64—80

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 16 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC San Diego

22-58FG31-67

38.0%FG%46.0%

12-393PT8-24

31.0%3PT%33.0%

8-8FT10-16

100.0%FT%63.0%

38Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists18

15Turnovers6

3Steals10

2Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	34	7-14	3-9	2-2	9	2	1	0	19
Cayden Ward	G	32	4-12	2-7	2-2	10	3	0	0	12
Jake Davis	G	20	3-7	3-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Peter Bandelj	G	33	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Guzman Vasilic	G	29	3-6	2-4	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Troy Plumtree	F	11	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jess Esso Essis	G	14	0-5	0-4	2-2	4	1	0	1	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Austin Goode	F	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	0
Ali Assran	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Mosley	PG	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	31	4-11	4-9	5-5	2	1	0	1	17
Hudson Mayes	G	30	7-13	1-2	0-1	5	3	2	0	15
Leo Beath	F	30	5-13	2-7	0-0	7	5	2	2	12
Emanuel Prospere II	G	15	4-5	0-0	4-6	3	3	1	0	12
Jaden Vance	F	27	4-6	1-3	1-2	6	3	1	0	10
Tom Beattie	G	30	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Bol Dengdit	F	19	2-7	0-0	0-2	3	1	1	0	4
Aidan Burke	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

91.2Offensive Efficiency114.0

114.0Defensive Efficiency91.2

-22.8Net Efficiency22.8

48.3%Effective FG%52.2%

51.8%True Shooting %53.6%

21.5%Turnover Rate8.5%

13.8%Free Throw Rate23.9%

67.2%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.93Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.