Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.5%Merrimack

18.5%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL133.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -441

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 71

Projected Total133.4

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricNiagara

53.7MMH Power Index35.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency100.8

103.2Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.2Net Efficiency-11.6

0.7Strength of Schedule-0.8

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

64.4Tempo63.4

49.3%Effective FG%50.9%

14.8%Turnover Rate18.8%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.5%Free Throw Rate27.3%

2.1Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–35.8), offensive efficiency (106.4–100.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–112.4), net efficiency (3.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.9–49.3), offensive rebounding (24.9–24.7).

Final

Merrimack

73—66

Niagara

Merrimack by 7 • 60.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATNiagara

25-53FG21-44

47.0%FG%48.0%

11-273PT7-18

41.0%3PT%39.0%

12-13FT17-19

92.0%FT%89.0%

25Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists14

11Turnovers16

5Steals8

4Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ernest Shelton	G	31	5-13	4-10	4-4	2	2	0	0	18
Kevair Kennedy	G	38	6-11	0-2	4-5	5	7	0	1	16
Tye Dorset	G	31	6-9	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	15
Andrés Marrero	G	38	2-5	2-5	4-4	3	2	1	1	10
Dylan Veillette	F	21	4-8	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	8
Todd Brogna	F	37	2-5	2-4	0-0	4	3	1	2	6
Aliou Cisse	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brandon Legris	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brendan Johnson	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Stinson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Hawkins	F	21	5-9	0-0	8-9	6	4	2	0	18
Josiah Sabino	G	22	4-9	1-2	4-4	3	1	2	1	13
Reggie Prudhomme	G	28	3-6	3-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	9
Kabeya Tshibangu	C	9	3-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Vice Zanki	F	24	2-2	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Drew Larson	F	19	1-1	0-0	4-4	2	2	2	0	6
Will Shortt	F	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	4
Landon Williams	G	15	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Trenton Walters	G	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Brian Griffith	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Gael Dalmau	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.6Possessions60.6

120.5Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.9Defensive Efficiency120.5

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

57.5%Effective FG%55.7%

61.7%True Shooting %62.2%

18.3%Turnover Rate26.2%

24.5%Free Throw Rate43.2%

50.9%3-Point Rate40.9%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.