Norfolk State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Norfolk State

44.6%Morgan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorfolk State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorfolk State -124

Morgan State

14-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorfolk State 78

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreMorgan State 77

Team Comparison

Norfolk StateMetricMorgan State

43.7MMH Power Index37.2

108.9Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.3

3.7Net Efficiency-4.2

-9.4Strength of Schedule-9.5

0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

70.1Tempo71.6

51.9%Effective FG%48.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.5%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

44.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

2.6Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Norfolk State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorfolk State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–37.2), offensive efficiency (108.9–105.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.3), net efficiency (3.7–-4.2).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.1–0.6), ball security (17.5–17.6).

Final

Norfolk State

84—90

Morgan State

Morgan State by 6 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Norfolk StateTEAM STATMorgan State

31-79FG28-57

39.0%FG%49.0%

5-193PT14-28

26.0%3PT%50.0%

17-26FT20-24

65.0%FT%83.0%

50Rebounds35

22Offensive Rebounds3

17Assists20

7Turnovers9

5Steals1

2Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Norfolk State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony McComb III	G	30	7-18	4-8	5-6	2	0	0	0	23
Jaquel Morris	F	27	6-8	0-0	4-4	12	1	0	2	16
Devon Ellis	F	33	6-14	0-1	2-7	7	2	1	0	14
Elijah Jamison	G	20	4-14	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Dian Wright-Forde	G	12	3-8	0-1	2-2	4	2	1	0	8
Jordan Leaks	G	25	2-6	1-4	1-3	5	3	1	0	6
My'kel Jenkins	G	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	2	2	0	4
Keyontae Lewis	F	6	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Adrean Newton	G	20	0-3	0-2	1-2	2	5	0	0	1
Melo Baines	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Lawson	G	37	7-11	4-6	2-3	6	1	0	0	20
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	28	7-13	5-10	1-1	1	1	0	0	20
Eugene Alvin	F	35	6-10	3-4	4-4	5	1	0	2	19
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	32	3-11	2-7	8-8	8	5	1	0	16
Elijah Davis	G	40	5-8	0-1	5-8	2	10	0	0	15
Christian Meeks	G	21	0-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Christian Oliver	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
David Bumpass	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

111.4Offensive Efficiency119.4

119.4Defensive Efficiency111.4

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

42.4%Effective FG%61.4%

46.0%True Shooting %65.8%

9.2%Turnover Rate12.1%

32.9%Free Throw Rate42.1%

24.1%3-Point Rate49.1%

2.43Assist / Turnover2.22

Game Summary

Morgan State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.