Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Northwestern State

89.3%UT Rio Grande Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -835

UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 63

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 77

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricUT Rio Grande Valley

41.3MMH Power Index55.8

104.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.1

-5.0Net Efficiency9.5

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3

63.6Tempo67.4

49.5%Effective FG%55.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate29.6%

-3.2Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-1.9), ball security (17.6–17.9), free throw rate (41.2–29.6).

Final

Northwestern State

62—74

UT Rio Grande Valley

UT Rio Grande Valley by 12 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATUT Rio Grande Valley

23-48FG29-59

48.0%FG%49.0%

3-103PT9-23

30.0%3PT%39.0%

13-22FT7-10

59.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists16

13Turnovers9

4Steals7

2Blocks2

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Willie Williams	F	32	8-11	0-0	2-2	11	3	2	1	18
Izzy Miles	G	26	3-7	2-3	4-7	2	0	1	1	12
Micah Thomas	G	33	4-10	0-1	2-2	2	6	0	0	10
Landyn Jumawan	G	28	1-3	1-3	3-4	4	0	0	0	6
CJ Larry	PG	21	2-5	0-1	1-2	1	3	0	0	5
Chip Brunt	G	17	2-2	0-0	1-3	1	1	1	0	5
Chris Mubiru	G	28	2-8	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kordrick Turner	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Koree Cotton	G	32	8-14	4-7	1-1	7	1	0	2	21
Marvin McGhee III	G	33	5-12	2-8	1-2	3	1	2	0	13
Jaylen Washington	G	31	5-10	1-2	2-3	3	8	1	0	13
Kwo Agwa	F	19	4-6	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	9
Demarris Winters	G	18	2-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Filip Brankovic	F	21	2-6	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Dane Christensen	F	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
Always Wright	G	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Julien Gomez	G	20	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

95.8Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency95.8

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

51.0%Effective FG%56.8%

53.0%True Shooting %58.0%

20.5%Turnover Rate13.7%

45.8%Free Throw Rate16.9%

20.8%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

UT Rio Grande Valley won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.