Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.4%Montana State

20.6%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -385

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricNorthern Arizona

53.6MMH Power Index36.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency107.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency114.8

9.5Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.8

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

68.1Tempo66.6

55.1%Effective FG%53.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.8), net efficiency (9.5–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.7), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Montana State

76—65

Northern Arizona

Montana State by 11 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

28-55FG26-58

51.0%FG%45.0%

12-313PT7-21

39.0%3PT%33.0%

8-13FT6-8

62.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists13

7Turnovers9

5Steals5

3Blocks3

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian King	F	34	7-13	4-9	0-0	2	2	1	0	18
Jaden Steppe	F	27	6-10	2-3	2-3	3	1	2	0	16
Jed Miller	G	36	4-4	3-3	2-4	8	3	0	0	13
Seth Amunrud	G	31	3-10	2-8	2-2	5	1	0	0	10
Chris Hodges	F	13	4-7	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	2	10
Jeremiah Davis	G	28	3-4	0-1	0-1	5	2	2	0	6
Howie Keene	G	31	1-7	1-7	0-0	4	1	0	1	3

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oakland Fort	G	34	10-12	4-5	2-3	3	4	0	0	26
Diego Campisano	F	36	6-16	2-8	0-1	8	0	1	0	14
Chris Komin	G	38	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	6	2	0	9
Traivar Jackson	F	26	4-8	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	3	8
Ryan Abelman	G	35	1-6	0-2	4-4	6	0	2	0	6
Karl Poom	F	8	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Shaw	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Brennan Peterson	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Arne Osojnik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

124.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency124.6

18.0Net Efficiency-18.0

61.8%Effective FG%50.9%

62.1%True Shooting %52.6%

11.6%Turnover Rate14.6%

23.6%Free Throw Rate13.8%

56.4%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Montana State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.