Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Idaho State

54.6%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -120

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSacramento State

45.9MMH Power Index43

111.0Offensive Efficiency106.1

113.4Defensive Efficiency112.0

-2.4Net Efficiency-5.9

0.2Strength of Schedule0.9

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

67.1Tempo73.2

52.2%Effective FG%48.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.8%

-1.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.0–106.1), net efficiency (-2.4–-5.9), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.5).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.0–113.4), strength of schedule (0.9–0.2), recent form (-7.8–-9.6).

Final

Idaho State

65—83

Sacramento State

Sacramento State by 18 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSacramento State

22-58FG29-54

38.0%FG%54.0%

6-293PT7-18

21.0%3PT%39.0%

15-21FT18-23

71.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds4

14Assists21

12Turnovers9

5Steals7

4Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Louis Bond	G	24	6-10	2-5	1-3	5	1	0	1	15
Connor Hollenbeck	F	26	4-10	0-4	4-5	5	3	2	1	12
Blake Daberkow	F	22	2-6	0-0	3-4	6	2	1	0	7
Gus Etchison	PG	16	3-9	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Jamison Guerra	PG	23	1-4	0-2	4-4	2	6	0	0	6
Lachlan Brewer	G	28	2-6	1-4	0-1	1	0	0	0	5
Caleb Van De Griend	F	15	2-5	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	5
Quin Patterson	G	8	1-3	1-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Martin Kheil	G	21	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	1	3
Cheikh Sow	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Evan Otten	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Landen Birley	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kasen Carpenter	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	40	6-14	1-4	7-9	10	4	1	1	20
Mark Lavrenov	F	33	6-11	2-3	5-6	2	1	2	1	19
Arman Madi	G	38	5-9	1-3	2-3	11	7	1	2	13
Jahni Summers	G	27	5-7	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Shaqir O'Neal	F	23	2-5	1-2	2-3	4	2	0	0	7
Jayden Teat	G	12	3-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Taj Glover	G	8	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	2	0	0	4
Romari Robinson	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	4	3	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

92.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency92.9

-25.7Net Efficiency25.7

43.1%Effective FG%60.2%

47.8%True Shooting %63.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

36.2%Free Throw Rate42.6%

50.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.17Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Sacramento State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.