San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%San José State

74.6%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -294

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 70

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreFresno State 79

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricFresno State

42MMH Power Index47.1

108.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-9.8Net Efficiency0.0

1.8Strength of Schedule1.5

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

66.2Tempo69.4

50.8%Effective FG%51.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-6.5Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–42.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-9.8), recent form (-6.0–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–104.9), strength of schedule (1.8–1.5), ball security (15.2–18.2).

Final

San José State

68—82

Fresno State

Fresno State by 14 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATFresno State

27-66FG26-63

41.0%FG%41.0%

5-223PT11-24

23.0%3PT%46.0%

9-19FT19-24

47.0%FT%79.0%

41Rebounds45

12Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists11

5Turnovers6

4Steals2

2Blocks5

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colby Garland	G	40	10-18	2-4	4-8	3	3	0	0	26
Adrian Myers	F	40	7-18	0-6	3-5	16	1	1	0	17
Melvin Bell Jr.	G	36	4-7	1-2	1-3	4	0	1	0	10
Jermaine Washington	G	33	2-9	1-5	0-1	3	0	0	0	5
Japhet Moupadele	F	9	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	8	1	2	1	4
Sadraque NgaNga	F	23	0-5	0-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	1
Douglas Langford	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Heidbreder	G	40	5-15	3-10	7-7	3	1	0	0	20
Wilson Jacques	C	33	4-13	2-2	6-8	19	0	0	3	16
DeShawn Gory	F	36	6-13	0-2	2-2	7	4	0	1	14
Jac Mani	F	14	4-6	2-2	3-5	4	0	0	0	13
Cameron Faas	G	32	4-7	3-5	1-2	6	0	2	1	12
Bastien Rieber	G	30	2-7	1-2	0-0	2	6	0	0	5
Matteo Porto	G	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Aram Soqui Urbano	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency99.7

-20.5Net Efficiency20.5

44.7%Effective FG%50.0%

45.3%True Shooting %55.1%

7.4%Turnover Rate8.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

33.3%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.