Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.4%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

40.6%Jackson State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -146

Jackson State

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 81

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreJackson State 79

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricJackson State

38.7MMH Power Index30.7

106.4Offensive Efficiency98.1

111.6Defensive Efficiency117.0

-5.2Net Efficiency-18.9

-6.0Strength of Schedule-0.7

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.3

72.6Tempo71.6

51.4%Effective FG%45.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.4%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.8Average Margin-13.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–30.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–98.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.0), net efficiency (-5.2–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.7–-6.0), offensive rebounding (29.6–29.3), free throw rate (37.9–37.7).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

78—81

Jackson State

Jackson State by 3 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATJackson State

25-53FG24-61

47.0%FG%39.0%

7-193PT9-27

37.0%3PT%33.0%

21-24FT24-30

88.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds16

11Assists7

16Turnovers10

4Steals9

2Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quion Williams	G	40	6-12	1-3	8-8	8	2	1	1	21
Alex Mirhosseini	G	31	6-13	5-10	2-3	1	3	0	0	19
Jaquan Scott	F	39	4-10	0-0	6-6	10	2	0	0	14
Trevon Payton	G	34	4-6	1-3	2-3	4	1	1	0	11
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	29	3-7	0-1	3-4	4	3	1	1	9
Milhan Charles	G	23	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Ahmad Johnson	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dennis Asoro	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daeshun Ruffin	G	40	10-27	4-12	14-17	4	4	1	0	38
Tamarion Hoover	G	33	4-8	2-5	1-1	5	0	1	0	11
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	39	3-10	1-5	3-5	5	1	4	1	10
Devin Ree	F	16	2-3	0-1	3-3	5	1	0	0	7
Delyle Williams	G	25	1-3	0-1	3-4	5	0	2	1	5
Jalen Tatum	G	22	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Raevon Thomas	F	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	3
Kobe Butler	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

112.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

-4.3Net Efficiency4.3

53.8%Effective FG%46.7%

60.6%True Shooting %53.8%

23.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

45.3%Free Throw Rate49.2%

35.8%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Jackson State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.