UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.6%UMBC

14.4%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -594

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 75

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreNJIT 64

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricNJIT

59.1MMH Power Index38.5

113.0Offensive Efficiency98.1

99.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

14.0Net Efficiency-9.1

-5.6Strength of Schedule-0.5

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

65.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%47.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

34.1%Free Throw Rate34.0%

9.1Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.2), net efficiency (14.0–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.9–25.2).

Final

UMBC

91—52

NJIT

UMBC by 39 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATNJIT

33-65FG18-56

51.0%FG%32.0%

12-273PT4-26

44.0%3PT%15.0%

13-17FT12-17

76.0%FT%71.0%

46Rebounds29

16Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists7

14Turnovers16

13Steals8

4Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	23	4-7	4-7	2-2	3	1	1	0	14
Jah'Likai King	G	24	3-7	1-2	3-3	4	1	1	2	10
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	16	3-5	2-3	2-2	6	0	2	0	10
Riley Jacobs	F	16	4-6	0-1	2-2	7	2	1	2	10
Ace Valentine	G	27	3-6	1-3	1-2	6	6	2	0	8
Caden Diggs	F	16	4-6	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Cougar Downing	G	21	2-5	2-5	1-2	1	2	1	0	7
Josh Odunowo	F	21	3-8	0-0	0-2	7	1	1	0	6
Paul Greene	F	13	2-6	0-0	2-2	7	1	4	0	6
Jake Stout	F	9	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Tim Eze	F	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Saahil Thakkar	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Robinson	G	22	4-8	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	10
David Bolden	G	25	2-8	1-4	2-2	0	1	2	0	7
Melvyn Ebonkoli	F	23	3-6	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	7
Rocco Awad	G	19	3-7	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Ari Fulton	G	21	2-3	1-2	0-1	3	1	0	0	5
Jordan Rogers	F	20	2-9	1-7	0-2	10	0	2	0	5
Cameron Piggee	G	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
John Kelly	F	20	0-3	0-1	3-4	4	1	1	0	3
Quentin Duncan	G	19	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Zack Scherler	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2	2
Jeffrey Akintolu	F	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malachi Arrington	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

129.8Offensive Efficiency74.2

74.2Defensive Efficiency129.8

55.6Net Efficiency-55.6

60.0%Effective FG%35.7%

62.3%True Shooting %40.6%

19.7%Turnover Rate23.2%

26.2%Free Throw Rate30.4%

41.5%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

UMBC won by 39 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.