Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.9%Dayton

36.1%Richmond

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -177

Richmond

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreRichmond 73

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricRichmond

59.9MMH Power Index50.2

108.5Offensive Efficiency111.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.3

7.0Net Efficiency4.0

5.7Strength of Schedule0.3

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

68.3Tempo68.9

52.0%Effective FG%52.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

47.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

4.8Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–50.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.3), net efficiency (7.0–4.0), strength of schedule (5.7–0.3).

Richmond COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.3–108.5), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.0), ball security (14.1–16.9).

Final

Dayton

65—60

Richmond

Dayton by 5 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATRichmond

21-43FG23-60

49.0%FG%38.0%

8-213PT4-23

38.0%3PT%17.0%

15-18FT10-15

83.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists6

16Turnovers6

3Steals8

2Blocks—

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	29	5-8	3-6	2-2	7	1	0	0	15
Amaël L'Etang	F	31	6-10	1-2	0-1	5	4	0	0	13
Jordan Derkack	G	26	3-5	0-0	7-9	5	2	2	0	13
Jaiun Simon	F	23	2-3	1-1	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Javon Bennett	G	32	1-9	1-9	2-2	0	1	1	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	14	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Keonte Jones	G	32	1-3	0-0	2-2	8	3	0	2	4
Bryce Heard	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3

Richmond

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
AJ Lopez	G	31	5-12	2-7	3-3	2	0	1	15
Jaden Daughtry	F	13	5-9	0-2	1-4	1	0	0	11
Mike Walz	C	31	5-6	0-0	0-0	9	4	1	10
Aiden Argabright	G	28	2-8	1-3	4-4	2	0	1	9
Will Johnston	G	29	2-10	0-5	1-2	3	0	0	5
Collin Tanner	G	21	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	5
David Thomas	G	11	2-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	4
Jaylen Robinson	F	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Mikkel Tyne	G	16	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	2	0
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

105.0Offensive Efficiency96.9

96.9Defensive Efficiency105.0

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

58.1%Effective FG%41.7%

63.0%True Shooting %44.7%

26.0%Turnover Rate9.7%

41.9%Free Throw Rate25.0%

48.8%3-Point Rate38.3%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.