Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Wake Forest

85.4%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -585

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 71

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreVirginia 84

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricVirginia

57.6MMH Power Index68.9

112.4Offensive Efficiency119.0

109.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

2.7Net Efficiency17.2

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.2Tempo67.6

52.8%Effective FG%55.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.9Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–57.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–112.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.7), net efficiency (17.2–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–5.2), ball security (15.5–16.0), free throw rate (36.1–33.2).

Final

Wake Forest

70—75

Virginia

Virginia by 5 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATVirginia

24-62FG25-58

39.0%FG%43.0%

8-253PT10-32

32.0%3PT%31.0%

14-15FT15-23

93.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists17

8Turnovers10

5Steals5

3Blocks9

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mekhi Mason	G	26	9-12	4-7	4-4	2	1	1	0	26
Juke Harris	G	39	7-18	1-9	6-6	4	0	1	0	21
Sebastian Akins	G	31	3-10	2-3	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Myles Colvin	G	23	3-11	1-4	2-2	7	1	1	0	9
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	2-5	0-1	0-1	5	0	0	2	4
Cooper Schwieger	F	29	0-5	0-1	0-0	1	3	2	0	0
Omaha Biliew	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	0
Isaac Carr	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thijs De Ridder	F	30	4-10	2-4	6-8	7	3	1	1	16
Jacari White	G	24	6-12	2-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	14
Johann Grunloh	C	27	4-5	1-2	3-5	9	0	0	3	12
Malik Thomas	G	27	4-8	2-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	11
Dallin Hall	G	28	2-5	2-4	4-4	5	4	1	0	10
Chance Mallory	G	25	2-6	0-2	1-4	3	2	1	1	5
Devin Tillis	F	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Sam Lewis	G	14	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	3	0	1	2
Ugonna Onyenso	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	3	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

102.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency102.9

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

45.2%Effective FG%51.7%

50.6%True Shooting %54.4%

11.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

24.2%Free Throw Rate39.7%

40.3%3-Point Rate55.2%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Virginia won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.