Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Toledo

67.3%Miami (OH)

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami (OH) -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL166.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami (OH) -206

Miami (OH)

32-2

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 79

Projected Total166.1

Projected ScoreMiami (OH) 87

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMiami (OH)

58.8MMH Power Index60.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency123.1

109.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

6.4Net Efficiency19.4

2.3Strength of Schedule-5.6

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

69.8Tempo72.8

55.1%Effective FG%60.6%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate40.1%

4.5Average Margin14.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami (OH) HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami (OH) holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.7–58.8), offensive efficiency (123.1–116.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–109.6), net efficiency (19.4–6.4).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.3–-5.6), recent form (10.2–5.5), offensive rebounding (30.4–26.3).

Final

Toledo

72—74

Miami (OH)

Miami (OH) by 2 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATMiami (OH)

32-67FG27-54

48.0%FG%50.0%

6-213PT12-32

29.0%3PT%38.0%

2-2FT8-14

100.0%FT%57.0%

35Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists12

10Turnovers15

13Steals9

1Blocks5

13Fouls9

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	36	9-16	1-5	2-2	2	2	4	0	21
Sonny Wilson	G	37	6-15	1-5	0-0	1	6	3	0	13
Mynor Strong	G	25	4-9	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	10
Will James Jr.	G	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	23	3-9	1-3	0-0	7	1	1	1	7
Austin Parks	C	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Sean Craig	F	28	2-6	1-3	0-0	6	1	2	0	5
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Miami (OH)

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peter Suder	G	34	7-10	4-7	1-5	4	4	3	1	19
Antwone Woolfolk	F	22	6-10	1-2	1-1	6	0	0	0	14
Brant Byers	G	34	4-8	3-6	2-3	4	0	0	0	13
Luke Skaljac	G	29	4-7	1-4	2-2	0	2	2	0	11
Eian Elmer	G	32	2-10	2-8	2-3	4	1	1	4	8
Trey Perry	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Justin Kirby	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	3
Almar Atlason	F	19	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Tyler Robbins	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

104.5Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency104.5

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

52.2%Effective FG%61.1%

53.0%True Shooting %61.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate21.5%

3.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

31.3%3-Point Rate59.3%

1.40Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Miami (OH) won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.