Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Ball State

66.3%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -197

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 71

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricWestern Michigan

41.3MMH Power Index42.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency106.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency113.6

-3.0Net Efficiency-6.7

-3.9Strength of Schedule2.0

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

66.4Tempo69.9

48.3%Effective FG%50.3%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

33.0%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-2.0Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (106.9–101.7), strength of schedule (2.0–-3.9), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.3).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–113.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-6.7), recent form (-0.9–-9.7).

Final

Ball State

74—71

Western Michigan

Ball State by 3 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATWestern Michigan

29-62FG23-56

47.0%FG%41.0%

5-133PT6-19

38.0%3PT%32.0%

11-19FT19-24

58.0%FT%79.0%

35Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists9

8Turnovers11

9Steals1

3Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armoni Zeigler	G	42	10-19	2-4	6-10	7	8	0	0	28
Davion Hill	G	38	7-15	0-1	3-7	2	3	3	0	17
Preston Copeland	F	35	6-7	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	12
Juwan Maxey	G	22	3-4	2-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Devon Barnes	G	18	1-8	0-3	2-2	2	1	3	0	4
Elmore James IV	G	16	1-5	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Kayden Fish	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mason Jones	F	42	0-2	0-1	0-0	10	0	3	2	0
Cam Denson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Williams	G	40	8-17	2-8	4-5	6	1	0	0	22
Jayden Brewer	G	38	6-12	1-2	7-7	13	0	0	3	20
Carson Vis	G	25	5-7	1-2	0-2	4	0	1	0	11
EJ Ryans	G	30	0-6	0-1	5-6	0	2	0	0	5
Trey Lewis	G	19	1-4	1-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	5
Jalen Griffith	G	12	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Michael Sulaka	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2	2
Max Burton	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Sharod Barnes	G	16	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	0	1
Declan Peterson	C	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

103.2Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency103.2

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

50.8%Effective FG%46.4%

52.1%True Shooting %52.7%

11.3%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

21.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.63Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Ball State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.