San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%San Diego State

60.9%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -156

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricBoise State

60.1MMH Power Index59.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

99.3Defensive Efficiency107.1

11.0Net Efficiency6.8

3.8Strength of Schedule4.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

70.8Tempo68.6

53.2%Effective FG%52.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

39.6%Free Throw Rate42.7%

7.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.9–110.3), strength of schedule (4.2–3.8), recent form (5.2–0.4), ball security (17.0–17.2).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–59.5), defensive efficiency (99.3–107.1), net efficiency (11.0–6.8).

Final

San Diego State

77—86

Boise State

Boise State by 9 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATBoise State

27-55FG24-46

49.0%FG%52.0%

6-163PT12-25

38.0%3PT%48.0%

17-20FT26-33

85.0%FT%79.0%

15Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists9

7Turnovers17

3Steals1

—Blocks1

25Fouls16

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	30	8-14	4-8	3-3	2	0	0	23
Tae Simmons	F	22	3-5	0-0	6-7	3	0	0	12
Elzie Harrington	G	24	4-7	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	9
Miles Heide	F	20	3-4	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	23	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	4	1	7
BJ Davis	G	18	2-5	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	6
Taj DeGourville	G	19	1-5	0-1	2-3	0	1	1	4
Magoon Gwath	F	15	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Pharaoh Compton	F	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2
Jeremiah Oden	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	26	7-10	3-4	16-18	9	0	0	0	33
Javan Buchanan	F	32	6-11	2-5	3-4	4	0	0	0	17
Dylan Andrews	G	34	3-5	1-3	6-9	1	1	0	0	13
Andrew Meadow	F	30	4-9	3-5	1-2	5	1	0	0	12
RJ Keene II	G	30	2-3	1-2	0-0	8	5	0	1	5
Aginaldo Neto	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Pearson Carmichael	F	7	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Dominic Parolin	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	0
Spencer Ahrens	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bhan Buom	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

113.1Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency113.1

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

54.5%Effective FG%65.2%

59.7%True Shooting %69.7%

10.1%Turnover Rate25.5%

36.4%Free Throw Rate71.7%

29.1%3-Point Rate54.3%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Boise State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.