Saint Joseph's

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Saint Joseph's

63.8%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDavidson -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDavidson -176

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 69

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreDavidson 73

Team Comparison

Saint Joseph'sMetricDavidson

52.5MMH Power Index53

106.5Offensive Efficiency109.9

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.3Net Efficiency6.2

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.1

6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

68.7Tempo65.5

49.8%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

31.1%Free Throw Rate32.9%

2.9Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Davidson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDavidson holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–52.5), offensive efficiency (109.9–106.5), net efficiency (6.2–4.3), strength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–103.7), recent form (6.7–-0.6), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.8).

Final

Saint Joseph's

70—67

Davidson

Saint Joseph's by 3 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Joseph'sTEAM STATDavidson

25-53FG25-59

47.0%FG%42.0%

8-233PT9-31

35.0%3PT%29.0%

12-14FT8-16

86.0%FT%50.0%

41Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists11

13Turnovers3

3Steals7

5Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	35	8-14	5-10	2-2	9	0	0	0	23
Derek Simpson	G	32	4-11	1-5	1-2	4	4	3	0	10
Khaafiq Myers	G	19	4-8	1-2	0-0	5	4	0	0	9
Justice Ajogbor	C	34	3-4	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	1	8
Austin Williford	G	32	2-6	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	2	7
Dasear Haskins	G	27	2-6	0-2	3-3	6	0	0	1	7
Anthony Finkley	F	14	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	3	0	1	4
Jaden Smith	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Mekai Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Brown	G	33	7-11	1-3	5-6	3	2	1	0	20
Parker Friedrichsen	G	32	6-15	4-10	2-4	2	2	1	0	18
Josh Scovens	G	20	6-8	1-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	14
Hunter Adam	G	20	2-7	1-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Sean Logan	F	22	1-2	1-2	0-3	5	0	2	2	3
Manie Joses	F	6	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	3
Devin Brown	G	29	1-6	0-4	0-2	7	3	0	0	2
Nick Coval	G	20	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Ian Platteeuw	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
JaQualon Roberts	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

106.5Offensive Efficiency102.0

102.0Defensive Efficiency106.5

4.6Net Efficiency-4.6

54.7%Effective FG%50.0%

58.7%True Shooting %50.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate4.6%

26.4%Free Throw Rate27.1%

43.4%3-Point Rate52.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.