Marquette

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.7%Marquette

67.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -206

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarquette 80

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

MarquetteMetricProvidence

52.3MMH Power Index54.2

106.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.9Net Efficiency1.8

4.2Strength of Schedule4.0

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.9Tempo74.2

50.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

33.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.6Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Marquette

78—56

Providence

Marquette by 22 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarquetteTEAM STATProvidence

26-58FG17-55

45.0%FG%31.0%

9-283PT7-30

32.0%3PT%23.0%

17-21FT15-21

81.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists7

14Turnovers19

14Steals8

1Blocks3

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adrien Stevens	G	31	8-12	5-8	0-0	4	1	4	0	21
Nigel James Jr.	G	29	7-16	2-6	4-5	7	2	2	0	20
Royce Parham	F	30	3-5	1-2	2-4	4	2	2	0	9
Tre Norman	G	16	1-5	0-2	7-8	4	1	1	0	9
Chase Ross	G	23	4-9	0-1	0-0	2	2	3	0	8
Ben Gold	F	24	1-4	1-4	2-2	4	1	1	0	5
Damarius Owens	F	18	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Caedin Hamilton	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	3	1	1	2
Joshua Clark	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Michael Phillips II	F	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	37	5-13	4-9	4-5	2	0	1	0	18
Ryan Mela	G	30	5-7	3-4	4-4	8	1	2	0	17
Jamier Jones	F	29	2-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	2	1	4
Stefan Vaaks	G	24	1-12	0-8	2-2	3	3	1	0	4
Jason Edwards	G	21	2-11	0-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Nilavan Daniels	G	10	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	29	1-3	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	0	3
Cole Hargrove	F	11	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Duncan Powell	F	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Jack Williams	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

109.9Offensive Efficiency78.9

78.9Defensive Efficiency109.9

31.0Net Efficiency-31.0

52.6%Effective FG%37.3%

57.4%True Shooting %43.1%

19.5%Turnover Rate27.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate38.2%

48.3%3-Point Rate54.5%

1.07Assist / Turnover0.37

Game Summary

Marquette won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.