Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Colorado State

80.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -418

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNew Mexico

55.4MMH Power Index63.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

109.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

7.2Net Efficiency14.6

0.4Strength of Schedule2.0

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

64.7Tempo70.7

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.6Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

Colorado State

82—74

New Mexico

Colorado State by 8 • 72.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

24-41FG28-61

59.0%FG%46.0%

11-253PT6-25

44.0%3PT%24.0%

23-31FT12-20

74.0%FT%60.0%

28Rebounds29

3Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists12

20Turnovers12

7Steals16

2Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jorgensen	F	27	5-8	5-8	4-4	4	1	1	0	19
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	33	2-5	1-4	8-9	5	3	2	0	13
Carey Booth	F	24	5-7	1-2	2-2	5	0	0	1	13
Jase Butler	G	36	3-6	0-3	5-6	4	3	0	0	11
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	13	5-6	1-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Rashaan Mbemba	F	16	3-4	3-4	0-2	0	3	2	0	9
Jevin Muniz	G	37	1-5	0-2	3-6	3	7	1	0	5
Jojo McIver	G	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Darnez Slater	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deyton Albury	G	25	8-9	1-2	5-5	2	3	4	0	22
Tomislav Buljan	F	30	6-12	0-1	2-4	12	1	1	0	14
Jake Hall	G	38	5-10	3-6	0-0	3	1	3	0	13
Luke Haupt	G	36	5-10	0-1	3-6	4	1	3	0	13
Tajavis Miller	G	19	2-9	1-7	0-1	3	2	2	1	5
JT Rock	C	10	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Uriah Tenette	G	30	0-5	0-3	2-4	3	3	1	1	2
Antonio Chol	F	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.6Possessions72.6

112.9Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency112.9

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

72.0%Effective FG%50.8%

73.6%True Shooting %52.5%

27.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

75.6%Free Throw Rate32.8%

61.0%3-Point Rate41.0%

0.95Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.