Grambling

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Grambling

53.3%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -114

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrambling 73

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Team Comparison

GramblingMetricAlabama State

41.4MMH Power Index38

100.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

100.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

0.3Net Efficiency-5.7

-5.7Strength of Schedule-6.2

-0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

69.9Tempo71.9

49.2%Effective FG%48.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

42.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.2Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grambling HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrambling holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.4–38.0), defensive efficiency (100.4–107.4), net efficiency (0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (-5.7–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.7–100.7), recent form (0.0–-0.4), ball security (18.2–20.9).

Final

Grambling

65—63

Alabama State

Grambling by 2 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GramblingTEAM STATAlabama State

22-63FG22-59

35.0%FG%37.0%

5-303PT6-27

17.0%3PT%22.0%

16-19FT13-20

84.0%FT%65.0%

39Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists10

12Turnovers14

11Steals9

2Blocks8

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamil Muttilib	G	39	9-20	2-10	7-7	5	0	2	0	27
Roderick Coffee III	F	40	4-12	2-5	8-10	7	3	2	0	18
Rickey Ballard	F	34	2-14	1-10	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Devyn Franklin	G	25	2-2	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	5
Mekhi Fitts	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	4
Derrius Ward	G	31	1-10	0-5	0-0	5	5	2	0	2
Jimel Lane	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Chancellor Perkins	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Simpson	G	31	5-16	2-8	3-4	4	2	1	0	15
Jerquarius Stanback	F	26	3-5	0-0	5-7	9	1	0	4	11
Tyler Byrd	G	29	4-7	0-2	0-1	10	2	1	2	8
Tyler Mason	F	19	2-5	0-0	4-5	4	0	1	0	8
Tyler Mack	G	18	3-7	2-6	0-0	3	0	2	0	8
Damarien Yates	G	15	2-6	1-4	1-1	3	0	1	1	6
Asjon Anderson	G	21	2-10	1-6	0-0	3	2	2	1	5
Cameron Palesse	G	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Mario Andrews	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
R'Chaun King	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

91.8Offensive Efficiency89.0

89.0Defensive Efficiency91.8

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

38.9%Effective FG%42.4%

45.1%True Shooting %46.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate20.1%

30.2%Free Throw Rate33.9%

47.6%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Grambling won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.