Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.8%Western Kentucky

50.2%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -101

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 77

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricMissouri State

55.6MMH Power Index51.1

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

106.2Defensive Efficiency108.4

4.4Net Efficiency2.1

1.7Strength of Schedule0.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

71.7Tempo67.9

48.6%Effective FG%51.8%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.6–51.1), offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (106.2–108.4), net efficiency (4.4–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.8–48.6), offensive rebounding (33.0–31.8).

Final

Western Kentucky

74—87

Missouri State

Missouri State by 13 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATMissouri State

25-58FG28-54

43.0%FG%52.0%

2-133PT10-21

15.0%3PT%48.0%

22-32FT21-29

69.0%FT%72.0%

34Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists17

6Turnovers7

6Steals3

3Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Teagan Moore	G	26	8-14	0-0	7-9	3	0	1	0	23
Grant Newell	F	27	5-11	1-4	2-4	5	1	2	1	13
Armelo Boone	G	23	2-8	0-1	4-6	3	1	0	0	8
LJ Hackman	G	22	3-10	0-2	1-2	6	0	0	0	7
Blaise Keita	F	20	3-3	0-0	1-3	3	1	1	1	7
Ryan Myers	G	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Cade Stinnett	G	12	1-1	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Leeroy Odiahi	F	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	4
Jack Edelen	G	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	0	2
Terrion Murdix	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Kade Unseld	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Cam Haffner	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Boyde	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Williams Jr.	G	38	7-15	3-7	5-7	4	2	1	0	22
Keith Palek III	F	27	4-7	2-3	8-10	4	1	0	0	18
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	33	6-10	0-0	4-6	6	3	0	0	16
Zaxton King	G	29	4-7	3-6	0-0	0	4	0	0	11
Darrion Sutton	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	6
Kobi Williams	G	26	1-3	0-0	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Melakih Cunningham	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Tyrique Brooks	G	9	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	3
Logan Epes	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Cameron Boone	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Antwan Burnett	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

111.3Offensive Efficiency130.8

130.8Defensive Efficiency111.3

-19.5Net Efficiency19.5

44.8%Effective FG%61.1%

50.5%True Shooting %64.2%

9.1%Turnover Rate10.5%

55.2%Free Throw Rate53.7%

22.4%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.17Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.