Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Jacksonville State

62.5%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -167

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricNew Mexico State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.2Offensive Efficiency108.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency104.5

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

67.2Tempo68.9

51.0%Effective FG%48.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

44.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

75—77

New Mexico State

New Mexico State by 2 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATNew Mexico State

26-72FG24-62

36.0%FG%39.0%

4-173PT6-22

24.0%3PT%27.0%

19-34FT23-35

56.0%FT%66.0%

55Rebounds43

23Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists11

10Turnovers9

5Steals5

6Blocks3

22Fouls26

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacoby Hill	G	43	9-16	1-4	5-11	15	1	0	0	24
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	28	5-18	2-3	11-15	7	2	1	1	23
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	35	7-13	0-0	0-1	8	0	1	3	14
Iaroslav Niagu	F	27	3-6	0-0	1-3	8	1	0	2	7
Jamar Franklin	G	37	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Jaye Nash	G	34	0-7	0-2	2-4	6	3	1	0	2
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
AC Bryant	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Toby Nnadozie	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	40	9-18	2-3	9-13	6	5	1	1	29
Julius Mims	F	29	7-11	0-1	2-3	7	0	1	0	16
Jayland Randall	G	26	2-9	1-7	7-7	6	2	2	0	12
Elijah Elliott	G	14	2-7	1-4	1-5	1	1	1	1	6
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	30	1-6	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	24	1-3	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Chris Terrell	G	15	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Augustine Ekwe	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyrese Mullen	F	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Gabe Pickens	G	27	0-2	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

98.8Offensive Efficiency101.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.8

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

38.9%Effective FG%43.5%

42.5%True Shooting %49.0%

13.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

47.2%Free Throw Rate56.5%

23.6%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

New Mexico State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.