Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%Cal State Northridge

18.6%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -8.6

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -438

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 85

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricCal State Bakersfield

50MMH Power Index32.2

107.3Offensive Efficiency100.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency112.6

2.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

75.9Tempo73.0

51.0%Effective FG%46.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate43.8%

1.6Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.3–100.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–112.6), net efficiency (2.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (43.8–34.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

86—84

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Northridge by 2 • 79.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

33-72FG31-69

46.0%FG%45.0%

6-273PT8-24

22.0%3PT%33.0%

14-18FT14-22

78.0%FT%64.0%

50Rebounds34

18Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists17

17Turnovers10

7Steals13

3Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	10-15	3-5	2-2	11	1	0	0	25
Mahmoud Fofana	F	31	6-11	0-0	3-4	8	3	1	1	15
Larry Hughes II	G	33	4-18	2-10	4-4	4	0	2	1	14
Josiah Davis	G	32	6-11	0-2	2-2	6	6	0	1	14
Grady Lewis	F	21	3-3	0-0	3-6	7	0	1	0	9
Davius Loury	F	23	3-7	1-5	0-0	5	3	1	0	7
Jai Chisolm	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Brinson	G	23	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
James Evans Jr.	G	3	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	37	10-16	0-0	3-5	9	1	3	4	23
Dailin Smith	G	35	7-16	3-9	6-8	2	1	2	1	23
Mike Price	G	28	4-12	3-8	1-2	1	4	1	0	12
CJ Hardy	G	38	4-9	0-2	2-3	5	4	2	0	10
Tom Mark	F	19	4-8	0-2	0-2	8	0	3	0	8
Kadar Waller	G	29	1-5	1-2	2-2	3	6	2	0	5
Bentley Waller	G	11	1-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Dylan Purnell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.6Possessions79.6

108.0Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

2.5Net Efficiency-2.5

50.0%Effective FG%50.7%

53.4%True Shooting %52.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate12.6%

25.0%Free Throw Rate31.9%

37.5%3-Point Rate34.8%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 79.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.