UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%UC Davis

42.5%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -135

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricLong Beach State

48.4MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

3.5Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.4Tempo72.2

52.3%Effective FG%51.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

UC Davis

76—70

Long Beach State

UC Davis by 6 • 79.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATLong Beach State

23-59FG28-68

39.0%FG%41.0%

6-253PT6-20

24.0%3PT%30.0%

24-32FT8-16

75.0%FT%50.0%

42Rebounds43

9Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists9

15Turnovers15

7Steals7

5Blocks2

19Fouls25

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	38	8-18	1-3	13-18	5	2	0	0	30
Brayden Fagbemi	G	39	4-7	1-2	2-2	3	4	1	0	11
Omer Suljanovic	F	21	4-7	1-3	2-2	6	0	1	0	11
Niko Rocak	F	34	1-4	0-2	7-10	13	1	1	4	9
Isaiah Chappell	F	28	2-8	2-7	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	39	2-10	1-6	0-0	6	0	2	0	5
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	2
Chase Rawlins	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Abdullah Amzil	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Diaz III	G	43	12-24	3-5	6-9	12	2	3	0	33
Petar Majstorovic	F	39	4-9	0-3	0-1	6	1	3	1	8
Cole Farrell	G	31	3-6	0-0	2-2	4	2	0	0	8
Shaquil Bender	G	29	3-15	2-7	0-1	3	1	0	0	8
Leopold Levillain	F	28	2-3	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	0	4
Christian Jones	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	3
Shay Johnson Jr.	F	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Isaiah Lewis	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
JJ Chaikovsky	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dallas Washington	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.4Possessions79.4

95.7Offensive Efficiency88.2

88.2Defensive Efficiency95.7

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

44.1%Effective FG%45.6%

51.2%True Shooting %46.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.1%

54.2%Free Throw Rate23.5%

42.4%3-Point Rate29.4%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 79.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.