Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Cal Poly

86.2%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -625

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 73

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 87

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Irvine

46.5MMH Power Index58.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency95.0

-3.8Net Efficiency11.9

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

76.6Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%50.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-2.9Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (95.0–111.0), net efficiency (11.9–-3.8), recent form (10.0–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.7).

Final

Cal Poly

85—107

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 22 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Irvine

29-75FG40-71

39.0%FG%56.0%

10-343PT6-19

29.0%3PT%32.0%

17-21FT21-28

81.0%FT%75.0%

43Rebounds43

18Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists23

12Turnovers5

3Steals9

2Blocks7

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cayden Ward	G	30	6-10	1-4	3-4	6	0	1	0	16
Hamad Mousa	G	32	5-14	1-4	4-5	8	1	1	2	15
Austin Goode	F	24	5-14	1-7	2-3	4	3	0	0	13
Guzman Vasilic	G	25	3-9	3-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	9
Ali Assran	F	14	3-5	0-1	3-4	2	3	0	0	9
Peter Bandelj	G	32	2-8	2-6	2-2	7	2	0	0	8
Troy Plumtree	F	13	3-9	0-3	1-1	1	3	0	0	7
Jackson Mosley	PG	15	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	5
Jake Davis	G	13	1-3	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	29	8-16	2-6	4-4	6	5	1	0	22
Kyle Evans	F	29	7-11	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	5	17
Andre Henry	G	27	6-14	1-6	3-4	3	2	2	1	16
Harrison Carrington	F	20	6-7	0-0	2-2	5	3	1	0	14
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	11	3-5	0-0	6-7	5	1	0	0	12
Tama Isaac	G	25	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	5	1	0	8
Derin Saran	G	30	2-6	0-2	3-4	5	4	4	0	7
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Tishan Ahir	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Elijah Chol	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-3	1	1	0	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ben Egbo	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

108.0Offensive Efficiency136.0

136.0Defensive Efficiency108.0

-28.0Net Efficiency28.0

45.3%Effective FG%60.6%

50.0%True Shooting %63.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate6.4%

28.0%Free Throw Rate39.4%

45.3%3-Point Rate26.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover4.60

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.