UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%UC San Diego

51.6%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -107

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 80

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Fullerton

53.4MMH Power Index49.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency108.8

100.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.7Net Efficiency1.7

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.2

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

69.8Tempo76.3

53.1%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.6%

5.4Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

UC San Diego

71—75

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 4 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

30-60FG29-67

50.0%FG%43.0%

8-243PT11-35

33.0%3PT%31.0%

3-3FT6-9

100.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds11

24Assists23

15Turnovers9

6Steals8

2Blocks3

14Fouls8

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hudson Mayes	G	28	6-11	1-3	0-0	8	2	1	0	13
Leo Beath	F	33	4-8	2-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	12
Bol Dengdit	F	22	5-7	2-3	0-0	2	1	1	1	12
Emanuel Prospere II	G	21	6-10	0-0	0-0	2	4	1	1	12
Jaden Vance	F	23	4-8	1-3	1-1	6	2	2	0	10
Alex Chaikin	G	30	3-8	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Aidan Burke	G	12	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Tom Beattie	G	29	0-5	0-3	0-0	5	9	1	0	0
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	34	7-14	2-8	4-4	3	3	1	1	20
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	31	5-11	4-7	0-0	8	5	0	1	14
Jaden Henderson	G	17	5-7	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	12
Landon Seaman	F	23	4-12	0-4	1-1	5	1	0	0	9
Christian Williams	G	31	3-11	2-7	0-0	3	3	3	0	8
Bryce Cofield	G	26	2-5	0-1	1-4	5	3	2	0	5
Kendrick De Luna	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	5	1	0	4
Bailey Nunn	G	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
KJ Garris	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency101.6

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

56.7%Effective FG%51.5%

57.8%True Shooting %52.6%

21.3%Turnover Rate13.0%

5.0%Free Throw Rate13.4%

40.0%3-Point Rate52.2%

1.60Assist / Turnover2.56

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.