Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Abilene Christian

90.7%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -14.9

PROJECTED TOTAL141.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -975

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 63

Projected Total141.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricCalifornia Baptist

42.4MMH Power Index58.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

104.1Defensive Efficiency99.0

-3.0Net Efficiency7.5

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

69.6Tempo68.2

48.9%Effective FG%48.8%

20.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

-2.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (106.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.1), net efficiency (7.5–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (48.9–48.8), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

Abilene Christian

48—87

California Baptist

California Baptist by 39 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

14-42FG31-53

33.0%FG%58.0%

4-153PT7-15

27.0%3PT%47.0%

16-30FT18-33

53.0%FT%55.0%

27Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists11

21Turnovers14

7Steals11

1Blocks4

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradyn Hubbard	F	18	4-10	2-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	14
Cbo Newton	G	28	3-6	0-0	1-4	2	0	1	0	7
Isaac Dye	G	12	2-5	2-5	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Christian Alston	G	16	1-7	0-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Joseph Scott	F	16	1-3	0-0	2-5	4	0	2	0	4
Rich Smith	G	21	0-0	0-0	3-4	3	1	1	0	3
Yaniel Rivera	G	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Zy Wright	G	15	1-4	0-3	0-1	1	0	1	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-4	0	0	0	0	2
Cade Hornecker	F	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Joseph Venzant	G	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Tylan Lewis	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Isaiah Carrillo	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	24	9-13	3-5	1-2	4	4	3	0	22
Martel Williams	G	22	4-8	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	1	10
Bradey Henige	F	12	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	0	2	0	9
Devon Malcolm	F	20	3-4	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	1	8
Thomas Ndong	F	16	3-4	0-0	2-3	6	0	1	1	8
Monty Bowser	G	12	2-2	1-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Jayden Jackson	G	25	2-7	2-7	0-0	2	2	2	0	6
Jordan Muller	G	16	1-1	0-0	4-5	2	1	1	0	6
Miles Daniels	G	15	2-4	1-1	0-3	2	2	0	0	5
Nate Garcia	C	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Jonathan Griman	F	17	0-3	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	1	2
Jalen Dollar	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Rene D'Amelio	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

66.2Offensive Efficiency120.0

120.0Defensive Efficiency66.2

-53.8Net Efficiency53.8

38.1%Effective FG%65.1%

42.7%True Shooting %63.3%

29.5%Turnover Rate19.0%

71.4%Free Throw Rate62.3%

35.7%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.24Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

California Baptist won by 39 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.