VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%VCU

46.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -115

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 75

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

VCUMetricDayton

65.7MMH Power Index59.9

116.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.1Net Efficiency7.0

5.4Strength of Schedule5.7

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

VCU

68—62

Dayton

VCU by 6 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATDayton

25-51FG25-55

49.0%FG%45.0%

8-213PT4-22

38.0%3PT%18.0%

10-13FT8-15

77.0%FT%53.0%

30Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

7Turnovers9

5Steals4

1Blocks3

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lazar Djokovic	F	34	5-10	0-2	6-8	6	2	0	1	16
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	24	5-11	1-4	2-2	0	3	0	0	13
Barry Evans	F	36	4-7	3-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Brandon Jennings	G	24	3-5	0-0	2-3	7	4	3	0	8
Nyk Lewis	G	30	2-8	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Michael Belle	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	6
Jadrian Tracey	G	21	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Tyrell Ward	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	37	6-11	3-8	2-2	1	2	1	0	17
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	33	6-15	1-6	0-2	10	2	1	1	13
Amaël L'Etang	F	19	5-8	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Jaiun Simon	F	27	2-5	0-2	1-1	6	1	1	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	13	1-2	0-1	3-3	2	1	1	1	5
Malcolm Thomas	F	11	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	5
Keonte Jones	G	33	2-5	0-0	0-3	5	3	0	0	4
Jordan Derkack	G	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Bryce Heard	G	9	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

112.0Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency112.0

9.9Net Efficiency-9.9

56.9%Effective FG%49.1%

59.5%True Shooting %49.9%

11.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

25.5%Free Throw Rate27.3%

41.2%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

VCU won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.