Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Central Michigan

55.2%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -123

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 70

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreBall State 74

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricBall State

44MMH Power Index41.3

105.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-5.1Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.3Tempo66.4

52.6%Effective FG%48.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

32.9%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-3.5Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Central Michigan

69—85

Ball State

Ball State by 16 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATBall State

29-56FG32-55

52.0%FG%58.0%

3-123PT9-23

25.0%3PT%39.0%

8-15FT12-19

53.0%FT%63.0%

29Rebounds28

9Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists23

12Turnovers12

3Steals7

1Blocks6

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Phat Phat Brooks	G	34	8-16	0-1	1-3	3	2	2	0	17
Nathan Claerbaut	C	31	7-10	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	0	16
Tamario Adley	G	33	5-15	0-4	1-3	3	6	1	0	11
Logan McIntire	G	25	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Keenan Garner	F	26	2-2	0-0	2-5	8	2	0	0	6
Jaxson Whitaker	G	23	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jalen Kampen	G	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Nick Mullen	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Kayden Nation	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jorden Brooks	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Will Ashford	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Hill	G	35	10-15	3-4	2-3	6	3	3	1	25
Kayden Fish	F	21	7-10	0-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	15
Devon Barnes	G	29	3-8	2-5	6-6	1	5	1	0	14
Armoni Zeigler	G	23	4-5	2-3	0-0	7	7	0	2	10
Elmore James IV	G	32	3-6	1-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	9
Preston Copeland	F	19	3-4	0-0	1-7	1	1	0	3	7
Mason Jones	F	27	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	5	1	0	5
Juwan Maxey	G	10	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Cam Denson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

102.1Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency102.1

-23.7Net Efficiency23.7

54.5%Effective FG%66.4%

54.7%True Shooting %66.4%

18.1%Turnover Rate17.4%

26.8%Free Throw Rate34.5%

21.4%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

Ball State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.