Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Buffalo

82.1%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -459

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 75

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricToledo

49.7MMH Power Index58.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.6

2.7Net Efficiency6.4

0.0Strength of Schedule2.3

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

67.9Tempo69.8

56.1%Effective FG%55.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate30.3%

1.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–49.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–112.2), net efficiency (6.4–2.7).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.1–55.1), free throw rate (40.4–30.3).

Final

Buffalo

78—99

Toledo

Toledo by 21 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATToledo

31-58FG38-63

53.0%FG%60.0%

10-253PT12-24

40.0%3PT%50.0%

6-9FT11-15

67.0%FT%73.0%

29Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists27

12Turnovers6

5Steals9

1Blocks2

10Fouls11

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	40	10-22	6-17	0-0	5	2	0	0	26
Angelo Brizzi	G	34	7-13	2-4	5-7	4	2	2	0	21
Tim Oboh	C	31	7-11	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	15
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	35	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	3	3	0	8
Noah Batchelor	G	34	2-2	1-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	5
Matas Buteliauskas	F	13	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Ezra McKenna	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	35	10-14	4-6	0-0	4	4	1	0	24
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	33	7-11	3-5	3-4	7	13	1	0	20
Mynor Strong	G	30	6-10	4-6	2-2	2	2	1	0	18
Sean Craig	F	34	6-13	1-4	1-2	5	0	2	0	14
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	19	4-6	0-1	4-4	2	1	1	1	12
Will James Jr.	G	15	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	5	2	1	6
Austin Parks	C	24	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	0	3
Toby Nwokolo	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
London Praytor	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Ode	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

119.6Offensive Efficiency151.8

151.8Defensive Efficiency119.6

-32.2Net Efficiency32.2

62.1%Effective FG%69.8%

62.6%True Shooting %70.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate9.1%

15.5%Free Throw Rate23.8%

43.1%3-Point Rate38.1%

0.92Assist / Turnover4.50

Game Summary

Toledo won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.