UNLV

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%UNLV

79.0%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -376

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNLV 73

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 83

Team Comparison

UNLVMetricSan Diego State

52.8MMH Power Index60.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

1.4Net Efficiency11.0

2.7Strength of Schedule3.8

1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

71.4Tempo70.8

53.7%Effective FG%53.2%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

1.0Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.8), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.6), net efficiency (11.0–1.4), strength of schedule (3.8–2.7).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.0–110.3), recent form (1.1–0.4), shooting efficiency (53.7–53.2).

Final

UNLV

86—89

San Diego State

San Diego State by 3 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNLVTEAM STATSan Diego State

30-62FG33-60

48.0%FG%55.0%

10-233PT10-25

43.0%3PT%40.0%

16-22FT13-19

73.0%FT%68.0%

30Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists16

9Turnovers12

7Steals7

3Blocks6

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	40	11-22	5-11	5-5	2	2	3	0	32
Tyrin Jones	F	30	9-14	0-1	4-7	6	1	0	3	22
Kimani Hamilton	F	39	4-10	0-2	3-5	5	6	2	0	11
Walter Brown	F	32	3-4	2-3	0-0	5	3	2	0	8
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	39	2-8	2-4	0-0	11	3	0	0	6
Issac Williamson	G	10	1-3	1-2	2-3	0	0	0	0	5
Jacob Bannarbie	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Davis	G	26	11-17	4-8	4-4	2	2	1	0	30
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	35	6-14	3-8	4-6	6	3	1	0	19
Taj DeGourville	G	18	3-5	1-2	0-0	5	4	1	0	7
Miles Byrd	G	25	2-4	1-2	1-1	3	1	3	3	6
Magoon Gwath	F	18	2-9	1-4	1-2	4	1	0	0	6
Jeremiah Oden	F	15	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Pharaoh Compton	F	13	2-2	0-0	2-4	1	1	0	1	6
Miles Heide	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	4
Tae Simmons	F	16	1-2	0-1	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Sean Newman Jr.	G	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	4	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

116.5Offensive Efficiency120.6

120.6Defensive Efficiency116.5

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

56.5%Effective FG%63.3%

59.4%True Shooting %64.5%

12.3%Turnover Rate16.2%

35.5%Free Throw Rate31.7%

37.1%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

San Diego State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.